Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 13.658355 15.501572 17.451017 19.661237 22.092236 24.679242 27.635048
2025-02-09 11.168857 13.743848 16.641118 20.121847 24.168291 28.702089 34.143086
2025-02-16 9.012721 11.969993 15.494264 19.955948 25.402249 31.781125 39.759723
2025-02-23 7.220061 10.326392 14.237448 19.436684 26.071955 34.156908 44.642395
2025-03-02 5.913644 9.078474 13.274855 19.109866 26.860897 36.641342 49.731438
2025-03-09 5.004878 8.210972 12.670485 19.128868 28.018625 39.583562 55.487142
2025-03-16 4.195534 7.352791 11.955289 18.886403 28.752550 41.956993 60.572262
2025-03-23 3.833147 7.102312 12.057799 19.762888 31.031246 46.456138 68.630803
2025-03-30 3.364907 6.610991 11.735470 19.968101 32.340640 49.661775 75.047342
2025-04-06 2.791471 5.854452 10.910751 19.325928 32.345228 51.007673 78.914061
2025-04-13 2.288600 5.135933 10.055727 18.539093 32.045724 51.858494 82.065766
2025-04-20 2.116267 4.994547 10.137384 19.235534 34.020539 56.064803 90.134480
2025-04-27 2.098847 5.159271 10.776266 20.916644 37.661594 62.946229 102.436562
2025-05-04 1.969222 5.081315 10.976902 21.874821 40.207267 68.294161 112.690095
2025-05-11 1.739251 4.757911 10.696055 21.981489 41.378752 71.598533 120.025421
2025-05-18 1.480762 4.325284 10.159158 21.586912 41.689347 73.572038 125.411467
2025-05-25 1.273650 3.968639 9.724298 21.329653 42.196351 75.848891 131.309671
2025-06-01 1.127009 3.727100 9.488211 21.409252 43.263053 79.028418 138.669369
2025-06-08 0.972489 3.433395 9.107764 21.178383 43.763993 81.299465 144.664196
2025-06-15 0.930683 3.430904 9.347852 22.160867 46.451256 87.215640 156.565949
2025-06-22 0.837896 3.268624 9.218062 22.398810 47.804841 90.969715 165.121615
2025-06-29 0.696104 2.930432 8.648845 21.701465 47.407105 91.776996 168.951441
2025-07-06 0.566441 2.591860 8.030277 20.841374 46.643834 91.915490 171.670210